Alright, no medevac this episode (probably). Instead, we have to somehow make guesses based on new tribal alignments that we have no way of knowing how they will go. Despite this, we try to apply logic to predictions. Which might not be the best strategy.

Medevac Scenario Game

We were back at it this week, with John deciding to show his cinema-nerd chops and Andy expanding the term “evacuation” past medical reasons. Which scenario do you think was better?

Current score: John 2 Andy 1

Predictions

None of us foresaw the swap putting one of the leading vote getters for the winner in a near-impossible situation. We’re really bad at this, I guess. Let’s see who we predict this week:

Andy: For the Blue tribe, I think Jason and Cydney will recognize the need to bring the Brains down a member, and Neal is the more threatening of the two (while Debbie feels like someone who could defect even with Neal’s elimination). And he won’t see it coming, leaving with an idol in his pocket. For yellow, I think it’s finally time for Peter to flip. Now that Beauty can’t gain a numbers advantage, it’s time for him to strike against those who dared vote against him. Unfortunately, since no one likes him, they’ll just use his double-dealing as an excuse to get rid of him. Thanks, Peter.

John: Uh, I’ll say that Joe goes after Peter thinks he has control of a vote… but Joe gets evacuated before it can happen. Nick will be voted out because people will be glad to work with Debbie, who they see as a clown, and thus want to separate her from her new crush.

Emma: It’s not exciting, but getting rid of Julia is an easy thing to do right before the merge. The reasoning for the Brains tribe is obvious, and Scot probably doesn’t mind Tai having fewer options. For Blue, I don’t know, man. The 2-2-2 split means things could really go either way. I’ll just stick with Nick, I guess.

Mark: So close last week with my scenario. If Gondol loses again, Peter and Joe go at it, Aubry sides with her grandpa and the new Tai/Scot idol power duo and pulls the plug on the ER doctor. ​Peter goes.​ If Chan Loh loses, who knows what kind of crazy shenanigans go on at Tribal, but it might force Neal to use his idol as a 2-2-2 tie develops. Beauty loses as ​Nick is voted out​ for getting too close to Debbie.

Matt: The cracks between Peter and Joe grow until Peter approaches Tai and those guys about taking out Joe, but Tai doesnt trust Peter and enlists Scot and Julia to take out Peter. So Peter is the victim of a 3-2-1 and goes home by trying to flip. Or, there is another way i think this happens too, where Peter approaches them to take out Joe, but then goes back to the Brains and Tai just idols him out anyway. I’m predicting Michele. Jason doesn’t bond at all with the Beauties, so he ignores the numbers thing and takes out the girl because we know how much Jason loves women and Debbie and the rest target Michele because Debbie is thirsting for some Nick and the others realize she might have some game.

	Andy	John	Emma	Mark	Matt	Readers
First Elimination	Alecia	Alecia	Alecia	Alecia	Darnell	Alecia
Second Elimination	Cydney	Cydney	Cydney	Alecia	Alecia	Alecia
Third Elimination	Debbie	Joe	Joe	Liz	Joe	Joe
Fourth Elimination	Caleb	Caleb	Neal	Caleb	Caleb	Caleb
Sixth Elimination	Neal	Joe	Nick	Nick	Neal	Nick
Seventh Elimination: Chan Loh (Blue)	Neal	Nick	Nick	Nick	Michele
Seventh Elimination: Gondol (Yellow)	Peter	Joe	Julia	Peter	Peter
Score
Preseason Winner Pick	Peter	Michele	Jennifer	Michele	Peter	Jennifer

So there you have it. Make your picks below and don’t be afraid to give your explanation in the comments.

Note: It’s actually okay to use actual evidence presented this season to pick a winner, rather than just relying on a hunch you had from reading someone’s bio in the preseason. Just saying.